Data 88S: Probability and Mathematical Statistics for Data Science

UC Berkeley, Spring 2025

Week 14

Apr 22
  • Homework 11 has been released. It is due next Tuesday, April 29th at 5 PM.

Calendar

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Week 1: Fundamentals

Jan 20
Martin Luther King Jr. Holiday
Jan 22
Lecture Course introduction; fundamentals
Syllabus, Ch 1.1
Section No Section
Homework Homework 1
Due Jan 28 at 5PM
Jan 24
Lecture Exact calculations, and bounds
Ch 1.2-1.3
Section Ch 1 Ex 1, 2, 5

Week 2: Conditioning, Bayes Rule, Independence

Jan 27
Lecture Intersections of several events
Ch 2.1-2.2
Jan 28
Homework Homework 2
Due Feb 4 at 5PM
Jan 29
Lecture Updating chances: Bayes’ rule
Ch 2.3-2.4
Section Ch 2 Ex 5, 10, 6
Jan 31
Lecture Bayes’ rule examples, independence
Ch 2.4-2.5
Section Ch 2 Ex 11, 12, 4

Week 3: Random Variables

Feb 3
Lecture Random variables
Ch 3.1-3.2
Feb 4
Homework Homework 3
Due Feb 11 at 5PM
Feb 5
Lecture Random variables and their distributions
Ch 3.2
Section Ch 3 Ex 1, 8, 7
Feb 7
Lecture Random counts: the binomial
Ch 3.3
Section Ch 3 Ex 2, 9, 3

Week 4: Random Counts

Feb 10
Lecture Random counts: the hypergeometric
Ch 3.4
Feb 11
Homework Homework 4
Due Feb 18 at 5PM
Feb 12
Lecture CDF; waiting times
Ch 4.1-4.2
Section Ch 3 Ex 6, 10, Ch 4 Ex 2
Feb 14
Lecture Waiting times; exponential approximation
Ch 4.2-4.3
Section Ch 4 Ex 4, 5, 6

Week 5: Random Counts; Expectation

Feb 17
President’s Day Holiday
Feb 18
Homework Homework 5
Due Feb 25 at 5PM
Feb 19
Lecture The Poisson distribution
Ch 4.4
Section Ch 4 Ex 7, 8, 12
Feb 21
Lecture Expectation
Ch 5.1
Section Ch 5 Ex 1a, 2 Midterm Review Problems

Week 6: Midterm; Expectation

Feb 24
Lecture Midterm review
Feb 26
Exam Midterm 1
12PM - 1PM
Section No Section
Feb 28
Lecture Functions of random variables; additivity
Ch 5.2
Section Ch 5 Ex 1, 5

Week 7: Expectation

Mar 3
Lecture Method of indicators
Ch 5.3
Mar 4
Homework Homework 6
Due Mar 11 at 5PM
Mar 5
Lecture Unbiased estimators
Ch 5.4
Section Ch 5 Ex 1bc, 6, 8, 9
Mar 7
Lecture Conditional distribution and expectation
Ch 5.5
Section Ch 5 Ex 11, 12, 13

Week 8: Variance & SD

Mar 10
Lecture Expectation by conditioning
Ch 5.6
Mar 11
Homework Homework 7
Due Mar 18 at 5PM
Mar 12
Lecture Measuring variability
Ch 6.1-6.2
Section Ch 5 Ex 14, 15, Ch 6 Ex 1
Mar 14
Lecture Tails of distributions
Ch 6.3-6.4
Section Ch 6 Ex 2, 7, 6, 5

Week 9: Variance of a Sum

Mar 17
Lecture Variability of a random sample sum
Ch 7.1
Mar 18
Homework Homework 8
Due Apr 01 at 5PM
Mar 19
Lecture The accuracy of a simple random sample
Ch 7.2
Section Ch 7 Ex 1, 3a, 8
Mar 21
Lecture Large samples and the law of averages
Ch 7.3
Section No Section

Week 10: Spring Break

Mar 24
Spring Break
Mar 26
Spring Break
Mar 28
Spring Break

Week 11: Central Limit Theorem

Mar 31
Lecture Central Limit Theorem 1
Ch 8.1-8.2
Apr 1
Homework Homework 9
Due Apr 08 at 5PM
Apr 2
Lecture Central Limit Theorem 2
Ch 8.2-8.3
Section Ch 8 Ex 1, 2, 3, 4
Apr 4
Lecture Inference: confidence intervals based on the CLT
Ch 9.1-9.2
Section Ch 9 Ex 1, 2, 4

Week 12: Midterm; Inference

Apr 7
Lecture Midterm review
Apr 9
Exam Midterm 2
12PM - 1PM
Section No Section
Apr 11
Lecture Inference: testing hypotheses 1
Ch 9.3
Section Ch 9 Ex 5, 9, 7, 8

Week 13: Inference; Density

Apr 14
Lecture Inference: testing hypotheses 2
Ch 9.4
Apr 15
Homework Homework 10
Due Apr 22 at 5PM
Apr 16
Lecture Probability density
Ch 10.1
Section Ch 9 Ex 11, Ch 10 Ex 1ab, Ch 9 Ex 10
Apr 18
Lecture Expectation and variance; the uniform distribution
Ch 10.2
Section Ch 10 Ex 1cde, 2, 10ab

Week 14: Density; Estimation

Apr 21
Lecture The exponential distribution
Ch 10.3
Apr 22
Homework Homework 11
Due Apr 29 at 5PM
Apr 23
Lecture Some properties of the normal distribution
Ch 10.4
Section Ch 10 Ex 10c, 3, 4, 9
Apr 25
Lecture Estimator: bias and variance
Ch 11.1
Section Ch 10 Ex 7, 8, Ch 11 Ex 1a

Week 15: Regression

Apr 28
Lecture The regression line
Ch 11.3
Apr 30
Lecture Correlation
Ch 11.3-11.4
Section
May 2
Lecture The error in regression
Ch 11.5
Section

Week 16: RRR Week

May 5
RRR Week
May 7
RRR Week
May 9
RRR Week

Week 17: Finals Week

May 14
Final Exam
3PM - 6PM